Wednesday, June 30, 2010

American Workforce’s Incoming Generation Most Diverse, Startlingly Least Educated

6/22/2010 By Roy Maurer

Seismic changes in the racial makeup of the U.S. population have led to the American labor force’s incoming generation being the most diverse in history, while at the same time being the least educated, leading to a dire forecast for the nation’s global competitiveness.

A group of panelists discussed this and other related issues at “The New America Policy Summit on the Changing Demographics of a New Generation,” sponsored by the National Journal Group in association with the Society for Human Resource Management (SHRM) June 17, 2010, in Washington, D.C.

Pointing out that two-fifths of the Millennial generation, or Gen Y—the generation currently entering the workforce—is non-white, according to 2009 statistics, SHRM President and CEO Laurence G. O’Neil stated that the demographic change will “have huge implications for our workforce, our education system and our domestic policy.” He added that “SHRM’s 250,000 members, HR professionals from every industry, are on the front line of this change every day.”

The panel exchange that followed included a presentation by William H. Frey, demographer and senior fellow for the Metropolitan Policy Program at the Brookings Institution, and lively discussion about education reform, workforce training initiatives and racial inequality in American society.

Based on the 2000 census, the U.S. workforce (generally ages 25 to 64) is in the midst of a sweeping demographic transformation. From 1980 to 2020, the white working-age population is projected to decline from 82 percent to 63 percent. During the same period, the minority portion of the workforce is projected to double from 18 percent to 37 percent, and the Hispanic portion is projected to almost triple from 6 percent to 17 percent. By 2042, the U.S. population will be more non-white than white, making it a majority minority population.

This demographic shift can be traced to two primary engines: Larger numbers of younger Americans are ethnic minorities, and increasing numbers of white workers are reaching retirement age, together making up the so-called “browning” and “graying” of the population. The aging of the Baby Boomers, who are beginning to enter retirement, and the influx of immigrants, mostly from Latin America and Asia, will generate major change ramifications to the labor force for years to come.

“As these largely white Boomers retire, the working-age population will decline by about 5 million whites, and the rest of the working-age population will gain about 15 million minorities, 90 percent of which in the next decade will be Hispanics,” Frey said.

The educational attainment of the fastest growing segments of the new labor force is especially startling. Just 39 percent of Hispanics in America in 2010 have a high school education, and only 13 percent are college graduates, with dropout rates in the Hispanic population particularly high.

Substantial increases in those segments of America’s young population with the lowest level of education, combined with the coming retirements of the Baby Boomers—the most highly educated generation in U.S. history—are projected to lead to a drop in the average level of education of the U.S. workforce over the next two decades unless the educational level of all racial and ethnic groups is improved.

The projected decline in educational levels coincides with the growth of a knowledge-based economy that requires most workers to have high levels of education. At the same time, the expansion of a global economy allows industries increased flexibility in hiring workers overseas. As other developed nations continue to improve the education of their workforces, the United States and its workers will increasingly find themselves at a competitive disadvantage, the panelists said.

Businesses “are looking down the pipeline to see where they’re going to get their workforce, the skills that those individuals are going to have, what their success rates are going to be in post-secondary education, and they’re very concerned, because they do see the changing demographics,” said Karen Elzey, vice president and executive director of the Institute for a Competitive Workforce at the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. “The question is, What role can [businesses] play in being able to support effective policies that allow them to get their workforce here? If they can’t get their workforce here, they’ll go [elsewhere] and get it,” she said.

Larger corporations are embracing the demographic changes, Elzey said. “They see the need to have a more diverse workforce and the value that a diverse workforce will bring to them in terms of the clients and vendors they are going to work with,” she said.

Corporate America has begun to adjust to labor force changes with an increased use of contingent workers, telecommuting, and workplace flexibility and diversity initiatives, she said.

On the other hand, American companies are struggling to find native-born workers with an expertise in science, engineering and math and “will look for the best and the brightest from wherever they can find them,” she added.

Roberto Rodriguez, special assistant to the president for education on the White House Domestic Policy Council, addressed the Obama administration’s education and workforce reform goals, including pushing for 60 percent of the population to hold college degrees by 2020, a 20-point uptick from 2009 rates.

“We clearly must do better,” Rodriguez said, by raising the bar of the quality of the workforce through strengthening workforce training and remediation for displaced workers and shoring up the nation’s community college system.

Tuesday, May 11, 2010

U.S. Could See Hiring ‘Heat Wave’ in May

5/7/2010 By Theresa Minton-Eversole

More unemployed Americans might have a better chance of finding a job this coming summer than in the summer of 2009 if May 2010's expected hiring "spring fling" is any indication. May 2010 hiring activity in the manufacturing and service sectors could reach levels not seen in three years, according to the Society for Human Resource Management’s (SHRM) Leading Indicators of National Employment (LINE) survey report released May 7, 2010.

Signs are growing more positive this month, with LINE employment expectations indices for both sectors at levels not seen since 2007,” said Jennifer Schramm, SHRM manager of workplace trends and forecasting. “The percentage of manufacturing companies that are hiring is the highest since October 2007; in the service sector, since June 2007.”

Good workers are getting slightly harder to find, too, with more employers in April 2010 reporting a higher level of difficulty with landing top-level talent than in 2009. In addition, new-hire compensation continues to increase. For the third consecutive month, the rate of new-hire compensation in April 2010 rose on an annual basis in both sectors.

The LINE Employment Report examines four key areas: employers’ hiring expectations, new-hire compensation, difficulty in recruiting top-level talent and job vacancies. It is based on a monthly survey of private sector human resource professionals at more than 500 manufacturing and 500 service sector companies. Together, these two sectors employ more than 90 percent of the nation’s private sector workers.

EMPLOYMENT EXPECTATIONS
Manufacturing
Service
In May, for the seventh straight month, hiring will increase in manufacturing and services on an annual basis.

+48.7

+37.0

RECRUITING DIFFICULTY Manufacturing Service
In April, the index for recruiting difficulty rose in both sectors compared with a year ago.

+18.9

+14.2

NEW-HIRE COMPENSATION Manufacturing Service
The rate of increase for new-hire compensation in April rose on an annual basis in both sectors.

+7.2

+10.9

Source: SHRM Leading Indicators of NationalEmployment(LINE), www.shrm.org/line.


Employment Expectations

Despite problems in the labor market, hiring looks much better in May 2010 than in recent months. The manufacturing index improved by a net of 48.7 points, which means a net 43.9 percent of companies will hire in May 2010, compared with 4.8 percent that conducted layoffs in May 2009.

The service sector hiring index rose for May by a net 37.0 points; a net 54.4 percent of respondents will add jobs in May 2010, compared with a net 17.4 percent that added jobs during May 2009. Even with the positive numbers, the unemployment rate is expected to remain elevated throughout 2010. The sharp rise in the LINE hiring indices is also a reflection of poor job market conditions from a year ago.

Exempt, Nonexempt Vacancies

LINE statistics cover exempt (salaried) and nonexempt (hourly) vacancies. Changes in the number of job vacancies can be one of the earliest indicators of a shift in the balance between labor supply and demand.

In the manufacturing sector, a net total of 18.7 percent of respondents reported increases in exempt vacancies in April 2010 (24.5 percent reported increases, 5.8 percent reported decreases). This represents a 22.2-point increase from April 2009 and the ninth consecutive month that exempt vacancies are higher than those of the same month the previous year.

A net total of 23.7 percent of manufacturing respondents reported that nonexempt vacancies increased in April 2010 (31.9 percent increased, 8.2 percent decreased). This represents a 28.6-point increase from April 2009.

In accordance with federal data, this suggests that manufacturers are adding jobs slowly and that demand for production is improving.

In the service sector, a net total of 16.6 percent of respondents reported increases in exempt vacancies in April 2010 (25.9 percent reported increases, 9.3 percent reported decreases). That is a 28.6-point increase from April 2009 and the ninth consecutive month that exempt vacancies are higher than the previous year.

For nonexempt service positions, a net total of 29.1 percent reported increased vacancies in April 2010 (36.9 percent increased, 7.8 percent decreased). This marked a 31.0-point increase from April 2009. Increased demand for positions in the service sector might be driven in part by the health care industry, which added 27,000 jobs in March 2010, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

New-Hire Compensation

The continuing high rate of unemployment and a large pool of job seekers in the market have given many companies the option of reducing the wages and benefits they are offering new hires in an effort to control costs. But the LINE statistics show that new-hire compensation continues to increase incrementally, noted Schramm.

“April marked the third consecutive month where new-hire compensation rates were up on a year-over-year basis,” she said.

In the manufacturing sector, a net total of 4.9 percent of respondents said they would increase new-hire compensation in April 2010 (6.1 percent increased, 1.2 percent decreased). That is an increase of 7.2 points from April 2009.

In the service sector, however, a net total of 1.3 percent of companies decreased new-hire compensation in April 2010 (3.4 percent increased, 4.7 percent decreased). That still represents a net increase of 10.9 points from April 2009, when a net of 12.2 percent of service companies decreased new-hire compensation.

The low rates of change in the two sectors indicate that most organizations are keeping new-hire compensation rates flat and that people landing new jobs are continuing to accept lower wages and benefits as the labor market remains weak.

Recruiting Difficulty

LINE’s recruiting difficulty index measures how hard it is for firms to recruit candidates to fill the positions of greatest strategic importance to their companies. Even though small numbers of respondents are having a harder time finding top talent, the level of difficulty has risen compared with a year earlier.

For example, in the manufacturing sector, a net of 0.9 percent of respondents had less difficulty with recruiting in April 2010 (8.8 percent reported more difficulty, 9.7 percent reported less difficulty). This is still a sharp net increase of 18.9 points from April 2009, when a net of 19.8 percent reported less difficulty with recruiting.

In the service sector, a net of 6.5 percent of companies had less difficulty recruiting in April 2010 (10.4 percent had more difficulty, 16.9 percent had less difficulty). This was a modest increase of 14.2 points from April 2009, when a net total of 20.7 percent of companies had less difficulty with finding top talent.

“Improved hiring is likely what’s behind the slight rise in the LINE recruiting difficulty index,” said Schramm. “More employers [are] reporting difficulty filling their “A positions” compared to this time one year ago.”

Wednesday, April 7, 2010

LINE: April Hiring Should Reflect Recent Economic Improvements

4/2/2010 By Theresa Minton-Eversole


Buoyed by incremental improvements in the U.S. economy, manufacturing and service-sector companies will hire more workers in April 2010 compared with a year earlier, according to the latest Society for Human Resource Management (SHRM) Leading Indicators of National Employment (LINE) survey. Although these hiring trends are positive, they are an indication of just how poor hiring conditions were in 2009.

Hiring is up on an annual basis for the sixth month in a row. In April 2010, the percentage of manufacturing companies that expect to hire will reach a level not seen since June 2008. In the service sector, the percentage of companies that expect to hire is the highest since July 2008.

In addition, recruiting difficulty continues to increase, according to the survey results, with more employers reporting difficulty landing top-level talent in March 2010 compared to March 2009.

New-hire compensation also rose slightly in March 2010. For the second consecutive month, the rate of new-hire compensation rose on an annual basis in both sectors.

The LINE Employment Report examines four key areas: employers’ hiring expectations, difficulty in recruiting top-level talent, new-hire compensation and job vacancies. It is based on a monthly survey of private-sector human resource professionals at more than 500 manufacturing and 500 service-sector companies. Together, these two sectors employ more than 90 percent of the nation’s private-sector workers.

Employment Expectations

Manufacturing

Service

For the sixth straight month, hiring will increase in April 2010 in both manufacturing and services on an annual basis.

+52.4


+42.9

Recruiting Difficulty

In March, the index for recruiting difficulty rose in both sectors compared with a year ago.

+19.0


+26.6

New-Hire Compensation

The rate of increase for new-hire compensation in March rose on an annual basis in both the manufacturing and service sectors.

+2.4


+2.6

Source: SHRM Leading Indicators of National Employment (LINE), www.shrm.org/line

Employment Expectations

In February 2010, employers took 1,570 mass layoff actions involving 155,718 workers, reported the U.S. Department of Labor’s Bureau of Labor Statistics on March 23, 2010. The number of mass layoff events fell by 191 from the prior month, with manufacturing events hitting their lowest levels since August 2007.

Hiring in April 2010 will provide a better picture for job seekers. The manufacturing index improved by a net of 52.4 points (a net of 37.9 percent of companies will hire in April, compared with 14.5 percent that conducted layoffs a year earlier). The service hiring index rose in April 2010 by a net of 42.9 points (a net of 37.4 percent will add jobs, compared with a net of 5.5 percent that conducted layoffs a year earlier).

Even with those positive numbers, the unemployment rate is expected to remain elevated throughout 2010.

“Improved economic factors in the early months of 2010 compared to the dire employment conditions of the same time last year have resulted in increased year-over-year hiring expectations for the sixth month in a row,” said Jennifer Schramm, SHRM’s workplace trends and forecasting manager. “However, even with these increases, the rate of job loss during the worst months of the recession was so high that it will take many months and even years of sustained job growth to bring unemployment down significantly.”

Still, April 2010 marks the tenth straight month that more companies will hire rather than cut jobs in manufacturing (48.3 percent will hire, 10.4 percent will eliminate jobs), and it is the 12th straight month this has occurred in the service sector (46.5 percent will add jobs, 9.1 percent will cut jobs).

Recruiting Difficulty

“More employers are also reporting increased difficulty filling the jobs of most strategic importance in March compared to the same month one year ago,” Schramm said. LINE’s recruiting difficulty index measures how difficult it is for firms to recruit candidates to fill the positions of greatest strategic importance to their companies.

For the 13th consecutive month in March 2010, this index recorded single-digit response levels for those reporting increased difficulty with recruiting. In the manufacturing sector, a net of 2.3 percent of respondents had less difficulty with recruiting (6.6 reported increased difficulty, 8.9 percent reported less difficulty). This is still a sharp net increase of 19 points from March 2009, when a net of 21.3 percent indicated less difficulty with recruiting.

In the service sector, a net of 2.9 percent of companies in March 2010 had increased difficulty recruiting (9.6 percent had more difficulty, 6.7 percent had less difficulty). This was also a substantial increase from March 2009, when a net total of 23.7 percent of companies had less difficulty finding top talent.

New-Hire Compensation

“After a long stretch of decline and for the second month in a row, the LINE new-hire compensation index also increased on an annual basis in both the manufacturing and service sectors,” Schramm noted.

In the manufacturing sector, a net total of 1.1 percent of respondents said they would increase new-hire compensation in March 2010 (2.8 percent said they would increase, 1.7 percent said they would decrease). That is an increase of 2.4 points from March 2009. In the service sector, a net total of 0.4 percent of companies raised new-hire compensation in March 2010 (2.3 percent increased, 1.9 percent decreased). That is a net increase of 2.6 points from March 2009, when a net of 2.2 percent of service companies decreased new-hire compensation.

Bur the overall low rates of change in both sectors indicate that most organizations are keeping new-hire compensation rates flat and that people landing new jobs are continuing to accept low wages and benefits as the labor market remains weak.

Exempt, Nonexempt Position Vacancies

Vacancies for salaried jobs increased in March 2010, according to the LINE report. In the manufacturing sector, a net total of 11.9 percent of respondents reported increases in exempt vacancies in March 2010 (22.8 percent reported increases, 10.9 percent reported decreases). This represents a 20.2 point increase from March 2009 and the eighth consecutive month that exempt vacancies are higher than those of the same month the previous year.

In the service sector, a net total of 12.0 percent of respondents reported increases in exempt vacancies in March 2010 (21.0 percent reported increases, 9.0 percent reported decreases). That is a 23.3 point increase from March 2009 and the eighth consecutive month that exempt vacancies are higher than the previous year.

Vacancies for hourly jobs also rose in March 2010 for both sectors. A net total of 21.3 percent of manufacturing respondents reported that nonexempt vacancies increased in March 2010 (30.4 percent increased, 9.1 percent decreased). This represents a 30.5 point increase from March 2009.

In accordance with federal data, this suggests that manufacturers are adding jobs slowly and that demand for production is improving gradually. Industrial production rose for the eighth consecutive month in February 2010, according to the Federal Reserve.

For nonexempt service positions, a net total of 23.3 percent reported increased vacancies in March 2010 (32.7 percent reported increased vacancies, 9.4 percent reported decreased vacancies). This marked a 31.7 point increase from March 2009. Increased demand for positions in the service sector might be driven partially by the retail industry, which saw its sales rise by 0.3 percent in February 2010, according to the U.S. Department of Commerce.

Monday, March 22, 2010

Business Week's "Fed’s Bullard Says U.S. Is ‘About to Turn the Corner’ on Jobs" Article

"March 22 (Bloomberg) -- James Bullard, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, said the nation’s job market is “about to turn the corner” after the deepest slump since the Great Depression.

“We’re about to turn the corner on jobs,” Bullard said today in an interview with CNBC. “I think we’ll get some good months of jobs reports coming up very, very soon. We’re looking for March to be strong.”

Bullard repeated his view that the central bank’s pledge to keep rates low for an “extended period,” affirmed last week, creates the perception policy makers have a specific date in mind for increasing borrowing costs.

“The extended period language is putting us in a box,” he said. “People are interpreting that as a date certain when we will raise rates.”

The Fed will hold the target rate for overnight loans between banks at its current range of zero to 0.25 percent through the first nine months of the year, according to the survey median. The rate will rise to 0.75 percentage point by the end of the year.

Bullard said he expects a “reasonable” economic recovery, though not a “roaring recovery.”

Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said last month the U.S. economy is in a “nascent” recovery that still requires low interest rates to encourage demand by consumers and businesses once federal stimulus fades."


Wellisz, Christopher. Fed’s Bullard Says U.S. Is ‘About to Turn the Corner’ on Jobs. Business Week. 2010 Mar 22 [cited 2010 Mar 22]. Available at http://www.businessweek.com/news/2010-03-22/fed-s-bullard-says-u-s-is-about-to-turn-the-corner-on-jobs.html

Wednesday, February 17, 2010

U.S. Salary Increase Budgets Barely Matching Inflation Survey shows lowest level in 25 years

2/15/2010 By Stephen Miller

With total salary increase budgets in the U.S. barely exceeding inflation, even top performers might be disappointed to discover that their 2010 raises—in many cases following a year of frozen compensation—are only keeping up with cost-of-living increases, according to The Conference Board’s Salary Increase Budgets for 2010—Winter Update report.

Projections for 2010 show that salary increase budgets in the U.S. will be below 3 percent for the first time in more than two decades, and projected 2010 salary structure adjustments for all categories of employees are not expected to top 2 percent—well below the inflation rate (2.6 percent) forecast by The Conference Board, a not-for-profit business research association.

Salary increase budgets—the pool of money that a company dedicates to salary increases for the coming year. It is represented as a percentage of current total base pay.

Salary structure adjustments—the changes (usually annual) to the salary structure of a compensation program. Organizations make these adjustments to the minimum, midpoints and maximums of their pay ranges to account for changes in the cost of living generally, and to changes in the salary markets within their industry.

“Compensation professionals usually make sure that the salary structures move in lock step with inflation in order to ensure that structures represent market rate for jobs,” says John Gibbons, human capital program director at The Conference Board. “They budget increases in a particular year to reward great performance, allowing earnings to exceed inflation and move people up through the ranges. Salary ranges also represent employers’ anticipation of what the job market will require. Projections of near zero percent in real terms mean that employers are making the assumption that the salary market is simply not going to move up, regardless of increases in the cost of living.”

“U.S. workers will continue to face downward pressure on their salaries and wages,” predicts Linda Barrington, the association’s human capital managing director and co-author of the report. “Without the purse strings loosening on financial rewards, employers are going to have to rely on other ways of engaging employees—especially top performers—in order to keep their companies competitive.”

Historical Low

The revised median forecast of salary increase budgets for 2010 stands at 2.8 percent for all U.S. employee groups except executives (2.75 percent). This is the lowest level in the 25-year history of The Conference Board survey.

This historical low is consistent with historically low growth in government compensation measures. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’ (BLS) Employment Cost Index, total compensation in 2009 grew by 1.5 percent while consumer prices rose by 2.7 percent—meaning that, adjusted for inflation, total compensation fell by almost 1.3 percent. The Employment Cost Index’s increase is the lowest since the BLS survey began in 1982; prior to the 2009 recession, the 12-month change never fell below 2.7 percent.

------------------------------------------------
Adjusted for inflation, total compensation
fell by almost 1.3 percent in 2009.
------------------------------------------------

“Despite five months of improvement in The Conference Board’s Employment Trends Index suggesting that a turning point in job growth is on the horizon, recovery in compensation is probably a few years away,” says Gad Levanon, associate director for macroeconomic research at The Conference Board. “In the previous three recessions, compensation began accelerating only several years after employment bottomed. High levels of unemployment allow businesses to limit raise demands from existing workers and hire workers from unemployment at lower compensation levels.”

Expectations Revised Downward

The Conference Board’s Annual Salary Increase Budgets Survey, conducted in November 2009 among 285 U.S. organizations, represents a sharp drop from the 3 percent median forecasted for salary increase budgets in April 2009. More than a quarter of respondents (27.7 percent) said they had already changed their originally projected total increase budget for 2010. The median projected total salary increase budget for this group, 2.5 percent, is lower than that of respondents overall. Compared with their original median projected increase budget, the current median projected 2010 salary increase budget for these respondents is 0.5 percentage point lower than what they report as their original forecast for 2010.

The highest forecasted median salary increase budgets for 2010 are in consulting services—3 percent for all employee groups except nonexempt hourly, which stands at 2.85 percent. The second highest projections are reported in the trade sector, with all employee groups at 3 percent except nonexempt hourly (2.5 percent). The lowest 2010 increase budgets are in the banking industry (2 percent).

Bonus Budgets Slightly Higher

For merit increase budgets forecast for 2010, the median is 2.5 percent in each employee category for all industries. This compares to lower 2009 medians of 2.1 percent for nonexempt hourly, 2.38 percent for nonexempt salaried and 2 percent for exempt employees.

The median merit increase budget for executives in 2009 was zero. The highest median projected merit increase budgets for executives are in energy/agriculture, manufacturing and trade, at 3 percent.

Wednesday, January 20, 2010

HR Goes Green!

From Mediapost.com, this article was posted today to highlight the impact that green efforts make on attracting, hiring and retaining new employees.

Beyond Green PR: Green HR
by Greg Menken

With the rise of green consumers, many businesses have turned their attention to communicating their eco-virtues to these customers.

However, as companies vie for "greenness" among external stakeholders, they must not forget their most important audience -- their own employees.

It is well known that happy employees make for happy customers, because satisfied workers turn out the best product.

Companies compete on many factors to attract and retain employees, from salary, benefits, vacation, culture, etc. Today, the eco-friendliness of employers is increasingly impacting job satisfaction and employee recruitment.

More than ever, current and prospective employees are placing greater emphasis on how green their employers are, and companies that respond to this trend stand to attract and retain the best talent.

According to research by Harris Interactive, 36% of American workers would be more inclined to work for a green company, while 59% believe their companies aren't doing enough to improve environmental performance.

Research by the Kenexa Research Institute found that companies supporting sustainability initiatives increase employee engagement levels. These initiatives increase employee pride, overall job satisfaction, and willingness to recommend their employer as a good place to work. Another report from Brockmann and Company shows that companies with sustainability programs have higher customer satisfaction, higher employee satisfaction and higher revenues per employee.

Perhaps most importantly, research finds that younger employees are the most eager to work for eco-friendly companies. As our nation's demographics quickly change, companies will come under intense pressure to compete for these younger workers.

While the Harris Interactive report showed that 52% of baby boomers would like their employers to be eco-friendly, greater than 67% of Generation Y workers wanted the same. A MonsterTRAK survey showed an astounding 92% of young workers would choose to work for an environmentally responsible company.

As baby boomers phase out of the workplace, more and more workers will seek out green employers, giving these companies a competitive hiring advantage over their non-green competitors.

Moreover, the Harris Interactive report showed that nearly a third of workers would be willing to sacrifice salary for the satisfaction of working for a green company. Again, Gen Y workers align much more strongly on this point than baby boomers, with Gen Y workers willing to sacrifice 6.2% of salary, as opposed to only 2.5% for baby boomers.

This evidence makes it clear that companies must take their green marketing beyond their external audience and engage their own employees and potential employees. By extending green marketing beyond PR and into HR (human resources), companies will attract better staff, achieve greater worker satisfaction, and increase profitability.

To do so, companies must implement strategic communications plans for their HR audience, just as they would for customers. Effective worker-oriented green communications plans must provide clear direction, explain the personal stake each employee has in the program, make employees part of the process, and establish recognizable goals that can be rewarded.

By targeting workers with a green message, a business will attain the highest possible level of engagement among staff, earn a reputation as a green (and great) place to work, and achieve the strongest competitive position when recruiting the next generation of talent.

Thursday, December 17, 2009

Where the Job Market Will Open Up

If your interested in finding the most qualified professionals for upcoming opportunities at your company, check out O'Donnell Staffing Research's recruitment services and how they benefit you and your business.

Check out the article below about potential employment openings.

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Where the Job Market Will Open Up

Worrying about competition for talent probably isn’t your biggest concern right now. But it’s coming, especially in some industries and for some job titles.

The U.S. Labor Department released its report on 10-year projections for job and industry growth. Here’s what’s in the report.

First, as just about everyone knows, the manufacturing sector will continue to drop, even after a loss of about two million jobs in the sector over the last year, and they are unlikely to return.

Total employment is expected to rise in the next 10 years by 15.3 million, or 10.1%. That’s better than the 7.4% increase in the most recent 10-year period, but the numbers can be deceiving, since the recession dragged down the numbers so badly in the most recent 10-year period. Plus, we’re starting a low point in employment, so there’s a lot of room for growth.

Construction. The number of jobs will rise by 1.3 million, but even with the increase, there will be a percentage decrease when compared with the job market as a whole.

The service sector. Expect 96% of job growth to come out of this sector in the next 10 years — in particular in professional and business services, and health care and social assistance. Jobs in health care, which grew even during the recession, will skyrocket.

Which positions will see the most growth? The Labor Department projects increases of:

  • 72% for biomedical engineers
  • 53% for systems and data analysts
  • 50% for home health aides
  • 41% for financial examiner
To view the article by J. Giuliano at HR Morning click here.

Wednesday, December 9, 2009

LINE Confirms that Job Recovery Will Be Slow

12/4/2009 By Theresa Minton-Eversole


December hiring in manufacturing and services will surpass levels reached one year ago, according to the December 2009
Leading Indicators of National Employment (LINE) survey released Dec. 4, 2009, by the Society for Human Resource Management (SHRM). But the positive signs are less a nod to a long-awaited economic recovery than they are a reflection of how poor the job market conditions were in 2008.

The LINE Employment Report examines four key areas: employers’ hiring expectations, new-hire compensation, difficulty in recruiting top-level talent and job vacancies. It is based on a monthly survey of private-sector human resource professionals at more than 500 manufacturing and 500 service-sector companies. Together these sectors employ more than 90 percent of the nation’s private-sector workers.

Employment Expectations, Job Vacancies Increase

The December employment expectations index is positive in both sectors. In the manufacturing sector, a net total of 10.7 percent of respondents will add jobs in December (28.2 percent expect to add jobs, 17.5 percent will eliminate them), the sixth straight month in 2009 that hiring will exceed firing in manufacturing. In the service sector, a net total of 18.8 percent of companies will add jobs in December 2009 (28.0 percent expect to hire, 9.2 percent will cut jobs), the eighth straight month that the hiring rate will exceed the layoff rate in that sector in 2009.


Employment Expectations

Manufacturing

Service

Hiring will surpass layoffs in December in manufacturing and services, and the activity is also ahead of December 2008’s pace.



+21.6



+27.9

Recruiting Difficulty

Manufacturing

Service

In November, manufacturers had slightly less recruiting difficulty, while the service sector had increased difficulty landing top talent compared with a year ago.



-1.4



+10.7

New-Hire Compensation

Manufacturing

Service

For the 14th straight month, the rate of increase for new-hire compensation dropped in both sectors in November.



-1.2



-1.7

Source: SHRM Leading Indicators of National Employment (LINE), shrm.org/line.


A net total of 2.5 percent of respondents in the manufacturing sector also reported increases in exempt vacancies in November 2009 (16.1 percent reported increases, 13.6 percent reported decreases). This difference of 14.1 is an increase from November 2008 and is the fourth consecutive month that net exempt vacancies are higher than those of the same month in 2008. Likewise, a net total of 1.0 percent of respondents in the service sector reported increases in exempt vacancies in November (11.8 percent reported increases, 10.8 percent reported decreases). This is also the fourth consecutive month that exempt vacancies in services are higher than those of the same month in 2008.

A net total of 3.3 percent of manufacturing respondents reported that nonexempt vacancies increased in November 2009 (16.0 percent increased, 12.7 percent decreased). This represents a 22.1 point increase from November 2008 and could suggest that work is slowly being ramped up once again at some companies. Although the gains were small, the Federal Reserve reported that industrial production rose 0.1 percent in October 2009 and 0.7 percent in September 2009.

For nonexempt service positions, a net total of 5.2 percent reported increased vacancies in November 2009 (16.9 percent increased, 11.7 percent decreased). This also marked a significant increase from November 2008, when a net total of 16.0 percent of service companies reported decreases in nonexempt vacancies.

However, these large gains aren’t as good as they sound. “For the second consecutive month hiring expectations in manufacturing and services surpass levels of a year ago, but this may be more of a reflection of the very low hiring levels in the fall of 2008 rather than any significant return to health for the current job market,” said Jennifer Schramm, SHRM’s manager of workplace trends and forecasting.

The latest Conference Board Employment Trends Index tells a similar tale. Published Nov. 9, 2009, the index increased for the second consecutive month and was up 0.7 percent from the revised September 2009 figure. But the index is still down 13.2 percent from the same period in 2008. The increase in the November 2009 index was driven by positive contributions from four out of the eight tracked indicators, including initial claims for unemployment insurance, the number of temporary employees, industrial production and real manufacturing and trade sales.

"While layoffs have certainly declined in recent months, we still expect to see employers adding hours to their existing workforce before hiring will strongly increase," said Gad Levanon, senior economist at The Conference Board, in a statement regarding the organization’s November 2009 index results.

New-Hire Compensation

LINE shows that new-hire compensation is still down, though, because of the continuing high rate of unemployment and large pool of job seekers in the market. “The year-over-year comparisons of the rate of increase for new-hire compensation is still falling, another sign that overall the job market remains weak,” noted Schramm.

In the manufacturing sector, a net total of 1.1 percent of respondents said they would increase new-hire compensation in November 2009 (2.3 percent increased, 1.2 percent decreased). That is the lowest November response total in five years for manufacturers reporting increases to new-hire compensation.

In the service sector, a net total of 1.5 percent of companies raised new-hire compensation in November 2009 (2.8 percent increased, 1.3 percent decreased).

“Even after months of decline in the LINE new-hire compensation index, there continues to be little pressure on employers to ramp up compensation packages for new hires, indicating that there is still a large pool of job seekers willing to accept lower offers,” said Schramm.

Thursday, December 3, 2009

Coming to Terms

In an uncertain economy, employers and employees take a wary approach to job offers, noncompete agreements and contingent work arrangements.
By Diane Cadrain


The recession has shifted the terrain of employment agreements in every area from job offer to severance, according to experts. And some of them predict that, like the Great Depression before it, this economic crisis will affect employment relationships far into the future.

A formal document called an "employment contract" is quite rare except for executives and employees working on a limited-project basis, notes Jeffrey Tanenbaum, leader of the labor and employment law practice in the San Francisco office of law firm Nixon Peabody. "They’re typical in the entertainment industry, but also wherever there is a limited scope of engagement."

To the extent there is a written understanding at all, "most of it goes by letter of agreement, or is a contract for a specific project or a deliverable, not an employment contract," says Kevin Wheeler, CEO of Global Learning Resources, an HR consulting firm in Fremont, Calif.

But, Tanenbaum adds, certain documents may be treated like contracts. For example, an employee handbook can be "loaded with obligations, and a court may decide it’s a contract."

Here are some of the ways that agreements are evolving:

Job offers. "Certainly there’s less willingness to offer a term of employment," says John A. Snyder, a partner in the New York office of law firm Jackson Lewis. "When employment is at will, employers just use the offer letter as a contract. Or an employer might set forth job duties and chain of command in a contract, but without a definite term. Employment at will is always the rule, and now it’s even more so."

Because it is an employer’s market, "employers are less willing to make commitments than they were, such as automatic pay increases, or bonuses, or even to contract at all," says Jonathan A. Segal, a partner with the Philadelphia law firm Duane Morris.

"Employees are also more reasonable in terms of their expectations," he continues. "Three years ago, employees might have had three job offers and could use them to negotiate among employers. Now employees are asking for less, and employers have less to give."

Noncompete agreements. "At one time, employees wouldn’t sign them, but now they will," says Segal. "If it’s a choice between no job and a job with restrictions, they’ll take the job with restrictions."

Segal explains that noncompete agreements have to pass three tests. The first is the legal test: Is it enforceable? That varies from state to state. California won’t enforce noncompete agreements, except in limited circumstances. New York will if they’re reasonable.

"The second is the market test: Will the market bear this? In this market," he observes, "a noncompete agreement that passes the legal test automatically passes the marketplace test."

The third test is relational: "What will this agreement do to the employer-employee relationship?" Segal asks. An employee might sign the agreement but resent it down the line.

"Some employers ask for every legal protection in their contracts," he says, but he advises employers to consider the effect of an overly restrictive contract on the employee relationship. "If you start with ugly negotiations, or make unreasonable demands, employees will feel resentful," he observes.

His advice is to try to balance the interests of both sides. If the contract is too legally protective, it may look like the employer has gone too far. But if everyone signs it willingly, maybe the employer hasn’t gone far enough.

Executive compensation agreements. Executive compensation has seen a lot of changes, says Garry Mathiason, a shareholder in the San Francisco office of law firm Littler Mendelson. "In anticipation of this change, bonuses are being tied to performance. Before, executives had bonus structures triggered by something other than performance. You don’t want a company to take TARP [Troubled Asset Relief Program] funds and then give out unreasonable bonuses."

"There’s more compensation in base pay and less in bonuses now, because of a backlash against excessive bonuses," adds Wheeler. "We’re seeing a readjustment of how the compensation is parceled out."

Severance packages. "Severance packages are less generous. They’ve decreased by 50 percent," says Mathiason. "Companies have fewer resources, and shareholders are pushing back."

"It goes back to general public attitude about compensation," says Wheeler. "There’s a tendency to cut it way down."

But sometimes a generous severance package makes sense, Segal explains. "Though employees right now are reluctant to ask for too much, and employers don’t have as much to give, I still see applicants saying they want to help the employer make it. If a company is about to go down, and an applicant takes the risk of coming on board to help keep it afloat, they may ask for a lot of severance in that event," he says. "Employers need the best talent, and they may protect themselves by protecting the employee by making the employee less anxious—take away the reason why the employee could be nervous."

Workforce Future: Contingent?

As the economy is "just now starting to see the process of coming out of the trough of the recession, [and] as employers are starting to address the rehire process," says Tanenbaum, "there’s a greater interest in contingent workforce alternatives."

As the recession ends, "contingent workers will constitute, on average, a full 50 percent of the new source of workers to whom employers will turn," according to Mathiason. "The result of this trend will be that contingent workers will make up approximately 25 percent of the total workforce, and this percentage will continue to increase."

Since before the recession, the number of people—voluntarily or involuntarily—becoming independent contractors has been going up, says Wheeler, pointing to research by the Enterprise Center at Salem State College in Massachusetts showing that self-employment grew seven times faster than wage and salary employment between 2002 and 2006. And Wheeler points out that E-lance.com, a web site where freelancers offer their services, now has a client base of 60,000 and just passed $200 million in revenue.

"We’ll see the trend continue the rest of the decade, driven in part by the recession," Wheeler concludes. "Most companies will stay staffed lightly with full-time employees and will supplement with independent contractors. For example, the HR role is a perfect job to be contracted out. Companies will bring someone in and see how it works out."

Andrew Paley, a partner in the labor and employment department in the Los Angeles office of law firm Seyfarth Shaw, sees some companies trying new approaches with their contingent worker arrangements.

Paley says he knows of two medium-sized companies, one in health care and one in telecommunications, that sponsor health plans for their contractors. "Although health benefits aren’t required by law, sometimes they are required from a competitive standpoint," he comments. "Traditionally, independent contractors wouldn’t have benefits, but some employers, particularly with key individuals, now provide some type of benefit as part of a contractual relationship. The plans they offer may not be as good as an employee plan, but they’re better than what’s available on the individual market."

But relying on contingent workers or independent contractors has its pitfalls. Contingent workers offer flexibility and cost-savings in the short term, Tanenbaum says, but employers must continue to be aware that such short-term employment relationships can transform into regular full-time employment relationships, and that transformation can have staggering costs and implications.

"When such relationships are challenged," Tanenbaum says, "courts take a variety of factors into account in determining whether the person is a regular employee."

Duration of the relationship. One of the more important factors is the duration of the working relationship. Courts reason that independent contractors often have limited periods of employment and routinely move from one place to another, as compared to employees, who generally work exclusively for one employer, often for an indefinite and unspecified period of time.

Whether the person works for more than one employer at a time. The fact that someone has continued to hold outside work can offset a lengthy period of employment and tip the scale in favor of independent contractor status. Courts have found an employee relationship where an individual works exclusively for one employer for a considerable length of time.

Employee expectations regarding the length of employment. Independent contractors are often hired for specific or discrete projects, and therefore have an approximate completion date for their employment.

Tanenbaum advises that employers can reduce their risk by:

  • Relinquishing control over independent contractors.
  • Establishing discrete, short-term assignments.
  • Hiring individuals who are also employed by others or who have other clients.
  • Distinguishing between the work performed by contingent workers and an employer’s regular workforce.
  • Using temporary employment agencies and/or professional employer organizations.
"The bottom line is that if an independent contractor does what other employees are doing, the company has a problem," says Segal. "If you misclassify a person as an independent contractor, you may be liable for taxes, workers’ compensation and health benefits. The test is whether the employer controls the means and method of doing the work. The closer the control, the greater the likelihood that the person is an employee."

Tuesday, November 17, 2009

Diverse Employees Lure Diverse Customers

A lack of employee diversity may be preventing your company from reaching a broader range of customers.

By Stephenie Overman

Every business needs customers. A company can have cutting-edge, high-quality products, but, unless customers buy those gadgets or services, the organization can’t get off the ground. Even established companies must find new ways to effectively serve and expand their customer base if they want to grow. One way to attract more customers is to hire a diverse workforce.

Having a diverse workforce is critical from a business standpoint because it enables companies to get in touch with the wants and needs of a broad range of customers by drawing on the expertise of employees with whom those customers and potential customers identify, says Mitzi Adwell, vice president of strategic solutions for The Newman Group, a Los Angeles-based Futurestep Company that provides talent management strategy services and solutions.

Companies looking to expand their customer base need to do more than push products and services to customers, she says. They need to "pull" customers in by finding out what influences what they buy and where they buy. A diverse employee population can help provide that information.

For example, diverse employees at an adult beverage company may have insights on consumption habits in different market segments, Adwell explains, which helps marketing and sales staff determine where to place products to attract new customers. "It’s that level of understanding that sets your go-to-market strategy," she says.

Having a diverse workforce can also help a company reach its existing customers by providing them with better service. "When someone older goes into a consumer electronics store, they’re sometimes made to feel clueless by the young staff," says Bruce Tulgan, founder of RainmakerThinking Inc., a management training firm based in New Haven, Conn. But that more-mature customer may have a better experience if he or she can talk to a more-mature salesperson who is in tune with the customer’s needs and concerns.

A number of companies recognize the need to find a better balance among their employees, according to Tulgan, an expert on young people in the workplace. "I visit between 50 and 100 organizations a year, and I find that a lot of organizations in the retail and restaurant business want to balance out the natural trend of having a young workforce," he says. As a result, these companies are always on the lookout for candidates "who are a little older and more experienced" to better reflect the diverse ages of their clientele.

Recognizing the business case for diversity is just the first step. You then need to set goals, build a good sourcing pipeline and demonstrate the company’s commitment.

Where to Focus

Creating a more-diverse workforce isn’t about filling quotas; it’s about expanding your efforts to reach untapped pools of appropriate candidates. The first step is to examine your workforce using an internal audit, which can identify areas where diversity is lacking and help your company better direct its search.

"Do a good internal check," says Dolores Scotto, an HR consultant in Woodbridge, N.J., who focuses on strategic staffing and recruitment. "The results sometimes do startle you."

At one company where Scotto was working, an audit revealed that the workforce was predominantly made up of people in their 30s and 40s. The company had a practice of hiring employees with MBAs, and these people tended to be in that age range—workers "who were still up-and-comers," she says. "That became the age group with the most cultural fit.

"The company wanted to open up to Baby Boomers and to [members of the] military. We wanted to work with hiring managers to bring in people who were a little older, who bring more to the table."

Scotto believes that even companies that want a diverse workforce and recognize its importance often become comfortable with the familiar. Committing to a diverse workforce means reaching beyond that comfort zone, she says. From there, compare all candidates, and if all things are equal, consider "which different mind-set might bring more to the table" to attract a wider pool of customers.

Two examples of companies that have focused on diversity recruiting efforts to better reach their customers are:

Last year, Minneapolis-based electronics retailer Best Buy announced a change in hiring strategy to create a workforce that is more representative of the changing demographics of its customers. For the last 20 years, "we have focused on males between the ages of 18 to 25," Lisa Martens, a senior analyst with Best Buy, told the Boston Herald in August 2008. Now "female spending is a huge piece of the pie in the consumer electronics world," so the company has stepped up its recruitment of women.
At Gallery Furniture in Houston, "We mirror and match the population," says founder and owner Jim McIngvale. "We hire roughly according to the percentage of customers who are females, males, African-Americans, Hispanics, Asians." As a result, "The staff knows the market. We rely heavily on the staff to know what the customer wants—what different customers want."
And McIngvale takes literally the old sales phrase "You have to speak their language."

"If someone who walks in speaks Spanish, we have a salesperson who is bilingual," he says.

Everyone’s a Teacher

While it pays to have a workforce that reflects the diversity of a company’s customer population, it doesn’t need to be a 1-1 ratio, says professor Stephen Brown, executive director of the Center for Services Leadership at the W.P. Carey School of Business at Arizona State University in Tempe.
Rather than saying “10 percent of our customers are Cuban-American, so 10 percent of front-line workers are Cuban-American,” Brown believes “you need to have your front-line employees coached” by other employees on the preferences of key ethnic groups. In that way, members of various groups can inform each other about areas that may be culturally sensitive.


For example, a company may wonder if Hispanic customers want to be spoken to in Spanish or English. In a focus group, Brown says, “women with Hispanic surnames said too often the company assumes that [they] want to be spoken to in Spanish.” If you have Hispanics in your workforce, these employees would be able to coach other workers on customer preferences, Brown explains. They could tell other employees to give a customer with a Hispanic-appearing name the option of speaking Spanish but not to assume it’s the preferred language.

Members of a diverse workforce also can coach each other about the level of formality that different customers may prefer. For example, “Anglos tend to be informal,” according to Brown, as do younger people.



Diversity Pool

There are simple ways to find a good pool of diverse candidates:

Hire your customers. Sporting goods giant Cabela’s believes that hiring shoppers is the best way to make sure its sales staff represents its customer base. To make it convenient for customers to apply for jobs, the company has set up employment kiosks in its stores. (For more on Cabela’s hiring strategy, see "Luring Shoppers as Employees" in the July-September 2007 issue of Staffing Management.)

Get the most from your employee referral program. Make sure your employee referral program can help accomplish your goal of diversity. Referrals often come from the same small group of employees, says Scotto. To increase participation and receive referrals for more-diverse candidates, provide plenty of publicity for the referral program so that all employees are aware it exists and know how it works, she advises. Incentives can help, too.

If your workforce is homogenous, however, an employee referral program can backfire, leading to a "like-me" phenomenon that hinders any diversity efforts, Scotto warns.

Tie in with affinity or focus groups. Sometimes finding a diverse pool of job candidates "takes a little digging," Scotto says. Search the Internet to find different types of affinity organizations, such as the National Society of Black Engineers and the Association of Latinos in Finance and Accounting, she suggests. "Look not only at local colleges but maybe to historically black colleges. … Think outside your own little radius."

Appearance Matters

Companies committed to hiring a diverse workforce must walk the talk to be attractive to candidates. Adwell stresses that credibility is key.

Candidates "should see a workforce that is reflective of what you’re saying. They should be able to see a true testament that [they] can grow with the organization," she says. Make sure the employee photographs on your company web site present the right image. And during the interview process, introduce potential hires to employees who can share their own stories of diversity.

If your company hasn’t had a good track record, Adwell recommends letting candidates know that your company is working to change that. Tell them that while your workforce may not look diverse today, you "have set the business case and communicate the importance of diversity from the top down. Everything is in alignment" to make improvements

Tuesday, November 10, 2009

SHRM LINE: Job Market Recovery Will Be Slow

11/6/2009 By Theresa Minton-Eversole

Though the U.S. unemployment rate likely will continue to climb for the next few months, HR professionals in the manufacturing and service sectors expect hiring in November 2009 to surpass levels reached one year ago, according to the Society for Human Resource Management’s (SHRM) latest Leading Indicators of National Employment (LINE) survey.

Hiring is still not widespread, though November 2009 marks the fifth straight month that job additions were expected to outpace layoffs in manufacturing and services. But because the recession has been so long, “any improvements we see now are only improvements on what was already a weak job market one year ago,” cautions Jennifer Schramm, SHRM’s manager of workplace trends and forecasting.

The SHRM LINE data are collected through a monthly survey of human resource executives at more than 500 manufacturing and 500 service-sector firms and focus on four key areas: employers’ hiring expectations, new-hire compensation, difficulty in recruiting top-level talent and job vacancies. The net increasing index is calculated as the percentage increasing minus the percentage decreasing.

Employment Expectations

Manufacturing

Service


Hiring will surpass layoffs in November 2009 in manufacturing and services; the activity is also ahead of the November 2008 pace.

+15.3

+5.9

Recruiting Difficulty

Manufacturing

Service


In October 2009, both sectors reported increased recruiting difficulty during the same month for the first time since January 2007.

+2.8

+13.0

New-Hire Compensation

Manufacturing

Service


For the 13th straight month in October 2009, the rate of increase for new-hire compensation dropped in both sectors.

-3.0

-4.2

Source: SHRM Leading Indicators of National Employment (LINE), www.shrm.org/line.

Employment Expectations, Recruiting Difficulty

November 2009 is the first time that LINE data show that year-over-year hiring has increased in services since February 2008 and in manufacturing since August 2007. Still, says Schramm, “Net expectations are fairly low, indicating that any improvements are developing slowly.”

In the manufacturing sector, a net total of 17.8 percent of respondents reported they will add jobs in November 2009 (32.0 percent adding jobs vs. 14.2 percent eliminating jobs). In the service sector, a net total of 15.8 percent of companies will add jobs in November 2009 (26.1 percent hiring versus 10.3 percent cutting jobs)—the seventh straight month that the hiring rate will surpass the layoff rate in that sector.

LINE’s recruiting difficulty index measures how difficult it is for firms to recruit candidates to fill the positions of greatest strategic importance to their companies. Interestingly, despite the large number of people unemployed, members of both sectors report having slightly more difficulty in landing top-level talent compared with 2008.

For the eighth consecutive month of 2009, LINE recorded single-digit response levels for those reporting increased difficulty with recruiting. The low response totals can likely be attributed to two factors: fewer HR professionals being engaged in recruiting now and HR professionals’ heightened selection standards attributable to the large number of people looking for work.

----------------------------------------------------------------
'Any improvements we see now are only improvements
on what was already a weak job market one year ago.’
Jennifer Schramm, SHRM’s manager of workplace trends and forecasting
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However, the net total in both sectors showed a rise in recruiting difficulty compared with October 2008. In the manufacturing sector, a net of 6.8 percent of companies reported less difficulty with recruiting during October 2009. Still, it is the first time recruiting difficulty has increased on a year-over-year basis in manufacturing since October 2007. In the service sector, a net of 7.8 percent of companies had less difficulty recruiting in October 2009. This marks the first time that recruiting difficulty has increased on a year-over-year basis in the service sector since February 2008.

The results do not indicate a major reversal in recruiting difficulty but do reflect the notion that labor market conditions may be improving slightly from a year ago.

New-Hire Compensation

The rate of increase for new-hire compensation has been falling for more than a year, according to the LINE report, and employers reported that they continued to keep wages and benefits packages in check for new hires in October 2009. The continuing high rate of unemployment and large pool of jobseekers have given many companies the option to reduce the wages and benefits they are offering new hires in a continuing effort to control costs.

In the manufacturing sector, a net total of 0.1 percent of respondents said they would decrease new-hire compensation in October 2009 (2.4 percent increased, 2.5 percent decreased). That is the lowest October response total in five years for manufacturers reporting increases to new-hire compensation.

In the service sector, more companies actually raised new-hire compensation than reduced it in October 2009. A net total of 2.2 percent of companies increased wages and benefits packages for new hires (6.9 percent increased, 1.3 percent decreased). Still, it was a drop of 4.2 percentage points from October 2008, and perhaps an indication that those landing new jobs in October 2009 continue to accept lower wages and benefits during challenging economic times.

“The rate of increase for new-hire compensation continues to fall as it has for over a year,” said Schramm. “Employers are still able to find many willing job applicants even as they keep wages and benefits packages low—a sign that, despite some improvements, the job market overall remains weak.”

Exempt, Non-Exempt Vacancies

But indications that hiring conditions are improving slowly can be found in LINE’s vacancy data. Vacancies, defined as open positions that employers are trying to fill, increased from the previous year in October 2009 in all four job categories for manufacturing and services. Changes in the number of job vacancies can be one of the earliest indicators of a shift in the balance between labor supply and demand.

In the manufacturing sector, a net total of 6.2 percent of respondents reported increases in exempt vacancies in October 2009 (15.9 percent reported increases, 9.7 percent reported decreases). This is an increase of 4.1 percentage points from October 2008. In the service sector, a net total of 1.9 percent of respondents reported increases in exempt vacancies in October 2009 (11.9 percent reported increases, 10.0 percent reported decreases). This is the third consecutive month that exempt vacancies have risen in both the manufacturing and service sectors from the previous year.

Vacancies for hourly jobs also rose in both sectors in October 2009. A net total of 4.1 percent of manufacturing respondents reported that nonexempt vacancies increased in October 2009 (18.0 percent increased, 13.9 percent decreased). This increase of 3.9 percentage points from October 2008 suggests that work is being ramped up slowly at some companies. In addition, the Federal Reserve reported that industrial production rose 5.2 percent during the third quarter of 2009, the largest gain since the first quarter of 2005.

For nonexempt service positions, a net total of 15.6 percent reported increased vacancies in October 2009 (27.7 percent increased, 12.1 percent decreased). This marked a significant increase (17.5 percent) from October 2008, when a net total of 1.9 percent of service companies reported decreases in nonexempt vacancies.

“Wide-scale layoffs across the economy were just beginning to hit at around this time last year, so it is not necessarily surprising that compared to last October, vacancies are now increasing in all four job categories for manufacturing and services,” said Schramm. “However, this could be another indication that employment conditions may be slowly starting to improve.”

The responses in the LINE survey are weighted using the proportion of total employment represented by the respondent’s industry. These weights are calculated using the annual